The United States Chess League season starts next week, and I have been asked to participate in this year's prediction contest! I am very excited and honored to be part of it.
For most of the games and matches, I will be drawing heavily from my unofficial USCL ratings list, which I am planning to maintain throughout the year.
However, since the Monday match is between the two expansion teams, nobody on those teams has a USCL rating.
So, I suppose, I could predict a 2-2 tie, but I think I'll do something a little more intelligently.
Both boards 1 and 3 of Arizona have white, and outrate (USCF ratings) their opponents by about 80 points or so. Therefore I expect at least 1.5 out of those boards.
On board 2, IM Mehmed Pasalic (Chicago) is white against IM Mark Ginsburg (Arizona). Although Ginsburg is a little higher rated, Pasalic plays a lot in the North America Chess Association's FIDE norm tournaments, so he's probably in a good form.
On board 4, Warren Harper outrates his opponent by over 150 points, and although he has black, he's got a better shot to pull it out.
Thus, my prediction is Arizona over Chicago 3-1.
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