Friday, October 21, 2011

USCL Season Simulation 2011 (end of Week 8)

Week 8 has ended, and another set of simulations has been completed. Unlike the midweek simulations, I only needed 100,000 runs for each division to get some interesting results.

Once again, the chances that the team will make the playoffs, be in the top 2, and win the division.

Here are the results (to three significant digits).

Western Division (based on 100,000 simulations)

TeamPlayoffs Top 2Number 1
Arizona35.0%2.20%0%
Chicago100%100%100%
San Francisco71.0%6.23%0%
St. Louis0%0%0%
Seattle0.339%0%0%
Miami44.2%1.45%0%
Los Angeles99.9%90.0%0%
Dallas55.9%2.78%0%

Eastern Division (based on 100,000 simulations)

TeamPlayoffs Top 2Number 1
New England33.1%0%0%
Boston51.1%0.239%0%
New York100%92.6%41.4%
Baltimore17.8%0%0%
Manhattan90.9%16.0%0.728%
New Jersey0%0%0%
Philadelphia100%92.6%58.9%
Carolina9.95%0.792%0%

Again, if you have suggested scenarios, please comment with your requests.



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