Thursday, October 01, 2009

USCL Ratings and Power Rankings: Week 5 (2009)

Power Rankings After Week 5. Remember...
  • Team record and game points contribute 55% to the ranking.
  • Records of opponents contributes 35% to the ranking.
  • Records of opponents' opponents contribute 10% to the ranking.
1 - New Jersey 1.000
2 - Seattle 0.947
3 - San Francisco 0.903
4 - New York 0.893
5 - Boston 0.861
6 - Miami 0.834
7 - Dallas 0.726
8 - Arizona 0.714
9 - Tennessee 0.712
10 - Philadelphia 0.662
11 - Queens 0.654
12 - Baltimore 0.648
13 - Chicago 0.627
14 - Carolina 0.510

New York ahead of Boston? But Boston is 4.0 - 1.0 and New York is even at 2.5 - 2.5! How can this be?

Let's look at the raw totals... (never mind the scale, just look at the numbers).

BOSTON
Team Record: 140
Opponents' Record: 68
Opponents' Opponents Record: 105

NEW YORK
Team Record: 108
Opponents' Record: 136
Opponents' Opponents Record: 87

Conclusion? New York's schedule was twice as difficult as Boston's!

Let' hear from you Boston Blitz fans and players! Should the weaker opposition you faced overwhelm your excellent record, and put you below the New York Knights? What do you Knights players and fans think?



Here is the USCL Rating List, after Week 5. Remember...
  • Players must have played in 2009 to be on the list
  • Players must have played three lifetime games in the USCL
  • Color played makes a difference in calculating expected score from a game - having white essentially adds 72 points to your rating
  • Drawing when your team wins is worth 2/3 of a point (instead of 1/2) and drawing when your team loses is worth 1/3 of a point.
Rank Rating Name
1 2640 Jaan Ehlvest
2 2638 Hikaru Nakamura
3 2616 Sergey Erenburg
4 2615 Larry Christiansen
5 2604 Julio Becerra
6 2600 Boris Gulko
7 2576 Dean Ippolito
8 2576 Joel Benjamin
9 2574 Marko Zivanic
10 2571 Jacek Stopa
11 2568 Gregory Serper
12 2560 Giorgi Kacheishvili
13 2540 Alejandro Ramirez
14 2539 Yuri Lapshun
15 2539 Eugene Perelshteyn
16 2535 Josh Friedel
17 2532 Pascal Charbonneau
18 2529 Alex Lenderman
19 2512 Marc Esserman
20 2511 Leonid Kritz
21 2509 Alex Stripunsky
22 2505 Bruci Lopez
23 2497 Slava Mikhailuk
24 2491 Irina Krush
25 2490 Levon Altounian
26 2474 Sam Shankland
27 2462 Alex Shabalov
28 2461 Blas Lugo
29 2459 Jorge Sammour-Hasbun
30 2459 Dmitry Schneider
31 2458 Daniel Ludwig
32 2456 Mackenzie Molner
33 2454 Eli Vovsha
34 2452 Rogelio Barcenilla
35 2451 Jesse Kraai
36 2450 Andrei Zaremba
37 2446 Thomas Bartell
38 2443 Keaton Kiewra
39 2438 Denis Shmelov
40 2435 Jan van de Mortel
41 2435 Larry Kaufman
42 2434 David Pruess
43 2431 Tegshsuren Enkhbat
44 2422 Jonathan Schroer
45 2421 Sergey Kudrin
46 2419 Florin Felecan
47 2415 Angelo Young
48 2412 John Bartholomew
49 2411 Bryan Smith
50 2408 Mark Ginsburg
51 2407 Nikola Mitkov
52 2405 John Donaldson
53 2400 Oleg Zaikov
54 2397 Mehmed Pasalic
55 2391 Jay Bonin
56 2385 Eric Rodriguez
57 2382 Shinsaku Uesugi
58 2376 Yaacov Norowitz
59 2374 Vadim Martirosov
60 2370 Robby Adamson
61 2366 Ron Simpson
62 2364 Ron Burnett
63 2364 John Bick
64 2357 David Adelberg
65 2354 Victor Shen
66 2354 Matthew Herman
67 2351 Peter Bereolos
68 2349 Aviv Friedman
69 2344 Michael Lee
70 2341 Yian Liou
71 2323 Daniel Naroditsky
72 2315 Eric Tangborn
73 2315 Ilya Krasik
74 2306 Todd Andrews
75 2296 Jon Burgess
76 2295 Josh Sinanan
77 2294 Ray Kaufman
78 2285 Bayaraa Zorigt
79 2281 Kavinayan Sivakumar
80 2272 Katerina Rohonyan
81 2269 Craig Jones
82 2261 Nelson Lopez
83 2256 Tsagaan Battsetseg
84 2250 Danny Rensch
85 2228 David Justice
86 2217 Leo Martinez
87 2211 Andrew Ng
88 2207 Elizabeth Vicary
89 2207 Alejandro Moreno Roman
90 2159 Shaun Smith

4 comments:

HA81 said...

Ok Bio, it doesn't seem right that the Knights are ahead of Boston, simply because the Knights have a bunch of "opponent points" based on losing to New Jersey twice! Now, I realize that the Blitz have faced 4 of the bottom 5 teams in your poll and the only team in the top half defeated them, it just doesn't seem quite right that they get penalized because New York lost to the number 1 team twice. Can't you bump up Boston on style points? Oh yeah, Boston isn't really stylish in the normal sense. How about, colorful language points? Yeah, that works! Oh, and disingenious indignation points? Perfect! Yeah, now we are rocking. Sounds like you have Boston way underrated!

Back to reality. I did my way of power rankings and there was only one surprise, at least to me. Jersey was also at the top with Chicago and Carolina in the same spots at the bottom. The surprise to me was that Tennessee and Arizona were in the same spots! Very interesting.

Bionic Lime said...

Losing to New Jersey, yes, but by the slimmest of margins. Also, NY tied Seattle (the #2 team) and beat San Fran (the #3 team).

Ilya said...

Arent teams being punished for winning and thus making opponents records go down? You cannot lose to oneself, and thus impress your god damn formula, and you cannot beat teams you arent scheduled to play, can you? I dont disagree btw that NY has had a tougher schedule than we did but the records speak for themselves.Ive said this before but I will repeat: the rankings need to reflect PRESENT day situation, NOT the potential of the team to do better at some point in the future(future rankings can reflect that change).

Bionic Lime said...

"Arent teams being punished for winning and thus making opponents records go down?"

Yes, but the gain you get from winning overwhelms this effect.


"...you cannot beat teams you arent scheduled to play, can you?"

I think that sounds rather impossible.

"...the rankings need to reflect PRESENT day situation, NOT the potential of the team to do better at some point in the future"

They do. There are no predictive components to this.

Boston is above New York this week.